Friday, November 25, 2011

Europe Out of Control

Italian two-year bonds hit a record 7.82%!

Euro-debt problems getting out of control.  Greece looking for 75% haircuts.  Germany not backing eurobonds.  Spain 10-years were at 6.57% this week.  Disaster of German bund auctions (only 60% demand).  National pride issues starting to crop up as friction between European countries.  Belgium downgraded by S&P from AA+ to AA.  Dexia deal is in trouble and more banks could fail.  The eurozone is falling apart!

Bank recapitalizations sure to cause heavy selling into the first half of 2013.  I expect a further downward in the markets.  Along the way down, we make spike up to a lowered 50-day moving average.  Then. we have the big failure there to a crash of undeterminable proportions.  Clearly, the trend is down, though.

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